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  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

    Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务经纪商

    FX168于2020年12月颁赠

  • 全球最佳客户服务

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 2019年全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2019年全球最佳市场研究和教育奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳外汇客户服务

    Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018

  • 最佳市场调研与教育

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳交易经纪商

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳外汇服务商

    2017年伦敦财富管理奖

  • Brokers Billboard 2016

    2016最佳本土 客户服务

  • 2016投资与金融博览会

    中东和北非地区(MENA)增长最快的经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 2014博览展销会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 投资金融博览会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴计划

    荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳隔夜利息奖

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳交易稳定性奖项

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非最佳社交交易平台

    荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳代理/代理项目经纪商

    荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴转换计划

    荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠

  • 最佳价值经纪商

    2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 全球十大平台公益评选

    投查查于2024年颁赠

  • 全球最佳外汇经纪商奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最佳交易经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2022年度最受欢迎交易商Top 10

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳差价合约经纪商

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳免息账户

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 2021年最受欢迎交易商

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳代理计划

    2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 全球最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 最受欢迎交易商 Top 10

    FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳零售外汇经纪商

    Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇代理计划

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 全球最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最佳在线差价合约与外汇经纪商

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2020澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2019年成长最快的经纪商

    FOLLOWME交易社区授予

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 亚洲最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 最佳经纪商

    FinTech Age Awards颁发

  • 2019欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2019澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2018年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠

  • Egypt Economic Forum获得MENA地区最佳国际经纪商奖

    荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳执行外汇经纪商

    荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠

  • 2017年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳黄金经纪商

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳外汇经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳本地客户服务

  • 2024年全球最全面外汇交易应用程序奖

    Global Brands Magazine 颁赠

  • 2022年最佳外汇交易平台

    Online Money Awards 2022 颁发

  • 最佳APP奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 国际投资金融博览会

    2015最佳外汇交易平台

  • 2015博览展销会

    2015最佳金融交易平台

  • 2013中东和北非地区第12届外汇秀

    2013最佳创新外汇平台奖

  • 银牌奖项|2020年新冠肺炎(COVID-19)人资计划 - 照常运营类别

    2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠

  • 金融业界 World Finance 100 强

    金融行业的佼佼者

  • 人资管理与开发

    认证最优金牌级别

  • 足球邀请赛

    2014年首届亚军

  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

    Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务经纪商

    FX168于2020年12月颁赠

  • 全球最佳客户服务

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 2019年全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2019年全球最佳市场研究和教育奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳外汇客户服务

    Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018

  • 最佳市场调研与教育

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳交易经纪商

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳外汇服务商

    2017年伦敦财富管理奖

  • Brokers Billboard 2016

    2016最佳本土 客户服务

  • 2016投资与金融博览会

    中东和北非地区(MENA)增长最快的经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 2014博览展销会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 投资金融博览会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴计划

    荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳隔夜利息奖

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳交易稳定性奖项

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非最佳社交交易平台

    荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳代理/代理项目经纪商

    荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴转换计划

    荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠

  • 最佳价值经纪商

    2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 全球十大平台公益评选

    投查查于2024年颁赠

  • 全球最佳外汇经纪商奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最佳交易经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2022年度最受欢迎交易商Top 10

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳差价合约经纪商

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳免息账户

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 2021年最受欢迎交易商

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳代理计划

    2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 全球最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 最受欢迎交易商 Top 10

    FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳零售外汇经纪商

    Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇代理计划

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 全球最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最佳在线差价合约与外汇经纪商

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2020澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2019年成长最快的经纪商

    FOLLOWME交易社区授予

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 亚洲最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 最佳经纪商

    FinTech Age Awards颁发

  • 2019欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2019澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2018年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠

  • Egypt Economic Forum获得MENA地区最佳国际经纪商奖

    荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳执行外汇经纪商

    荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠

  • 2017年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳黄金经纪商

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳外汇经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳本地客户服务

  • 2024年全球最全面外汇交易应用程序奖

    Global Brands Magazine 颁赠

  • 2022年最佳外汇交易平台

    Online Money Awards 2022 颁发

  • 最佳APP奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 国际投资金融博览会

    2015最佳外汇交易平台

  • 2015博览展销会

    2015最佳金融交易平台

  • 2013中东和北非地区第12届外汇秀

    2013最佳创新外汇平台奖

  • 银牌奖项|2020年新冠肺炎(COVID-19)人资计划 - 照常运营类别

    2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠

  • 金融业界 World Finance 100 强

    金融行业的佼佼者

  • 人资管理与开发

    认证最优金牌级别

  • 足球邀请赛

    2014年首届亚军

  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

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market analysis

Manufacturing data are mixed, analysis of short-term trends of spot gold, silver, crude oil and foreign exchange on September 2

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Manufacturing data is mixed, and the short-term trend analysis of spot gold, silver, crude oil and foreign exchange on September 2nd". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

Global Market Review

1. European and American market trends

The three major U.S. stock index futures fell, Dow futures fell 0.58%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.72%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.94%. The German DAX index fell 1.46%, the UK FTSE 100 index fell 0.20%, the French CAC40 index fell 0.36%, and the European Stoke 50 index fell 0.83%.

2. Market news interpretation

Manufacturing data are mixed, and the outlook for the US economy is about to be clear

⑴ This Tuesday, the US market will usher in a number of important economic data. ⑵ Survey data shows that the initial value of S&P global manufacturing PMI in August was 53.3, the highest level since May 2022. ⑶ However, the market generally expects that the ISM manufacturing PMI will only rise slightly to 49.0 in August, and is still in the contraction range. ⑷ July construction expenditure data is expected to fall by 0.1% month-on-month, which will be the tenth decline in the past eleven months. ⑸ Analysis points out that due to factors such as long-term high interest rates, market uncertainty and material tariff remarks, builders are facing continued difficulties, especially in the residential field. ⑹In addition, the US Treasury Department plans to issue multiple batches of treasury bills today, with a huge total amount, which will also have an impact on market liquidity. ⑺ Various data and market activities are intertwined to jointly depict the current eouu.cnplex economic picture.

European long-term government bond yields soared, and fiscal difficulties ignited market concerns

⑴ Long-term government bond yields in some major European economies soared, setting a new high in more than a decade. ⑵ Investors' financial health for France and other major countriesI am worried about my health situation. ⑶ Data shows that France's 30-year government bond yield rose to 4.5%, which is expected to hit the highest closing level since the global financial crisis in 2009. ⑷ Germany's long-term government bond yield rose to 3.4%, which could hit the highest closing level since the eurozone's sovereign debt crisis in 2011. ⑸ The yield on the Netherlands' 30-year Treasury bond also reached 3.57%, the highest since 2011, while the yield on the UK's 30-year Treasury bond hit its highest since 1998 by 5.69%. ⑹ Analysis points out that even in an orderly market, there is a vicious cycle of slow development: concerns about debt push up yields, which in turn worsens the debt situation and further push up yields. ⑺In addition, the inflation data released on Tuesday was higher than expected, which also increased the pressure on the ECB to keep interest rates unchanged.

Russia's sea diesel exports fell by 6% in August, and the Ukrainian drone attacks had a significant impact

⑴ Agency data showed that Russia's sea diesel and gas oil exports fell by 6% month-on-month to about 3.1 million tons in August. ⑵The main reason for the decline in exports is the production impact of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil refineries. ⑶ According to calculations, at least 17% of Russia's oil processing capacity (about 1.1 million barrels per day) was therefore forced to close. ⑷ Data shows that diesel and gas oil loads at the Black Sea Novorossiysk ports fell by about 12% from July to 830,000 tons. ⑸ However, diesel exports from Russia's Baltic port Primorsk increased by 5.4% month-on-month to 1.33 million tons. ⑹Institutional data show that Türkiye and Brazil were the largest importers of Russia's diesel and gas oil last month, and Morocco, Tunisia and Senegal are also major importers. ⑺Although some ports exports have increased, the decline in overall export volume reflects the substantial impact of geopolitical conflicts on Russia's energy production and supply.

Europe's natural gas inventory exceeds 77%, with sufficient supply but still fluctuating

⑴Institutional strategists report shows that the current full load rate of natural gas storage facilities in Europe has exceeded 77%. ⑵ This narrows the gap between the current level of natural gas inventories in Europe and the average in the past five years to 8.4 percentage points. ⑶ Although Germany's inventory is catching up, it is still lagging behind, with a full load rate of only slightly above 70%, and the gap from the historical average is more than 15 percentage points. ⑷European gas power plants used in August was lower than the same period last year, which may accelerate inventory replenishment. ⑸ According to data, the EU's net gas public power generation fell by 2.4% year-on-year. ⑹European natural gas prices remained highly volatile despite adequate supply, rising again since last Thursday after falling to €31 per megawatt-hour. ⑺Institutions believe that the European natural gas market is still in a state of high volatility and needs to be paid attention to.

The issuance and subscription of 10-year treasury bonds in the UK reached a record 10 times

⑴ The latest 10-year treasury bonds in the UK received bids of more than 140 billion pounds, with a subscription multiple of more than 10 times. ⑵The batch of treasury bonds due in October 2035 are expected to be raised14 billion pounds (US$18.7 billion), setting a record. ⑶ The final pricing of the bond is 8.25 basis points higher than the benchmark interest rate during the same period, which is located at the lower limit of the guidance range, and the face value interest rate is 4.75%. ⑷ Asset management eouu.cnpany Pioneer Leader confirmed that it has established a larger position in this issuance. ⑸ International interest rate director Ales Courtney said that despite the market's concerns about the UK's fiscal situation and political development, new debt subscriptions are still more than 10 times. ⑹UK Treasury bonds are currently more attractive than German French bonds that face similar fiscal concerns.

The pressure on the depreciation of the yen has increased sharply, and the market is vigilant about the risk of the 150 mark

⑴ On Tuesday, the dollar against the yen rose due to dovish remarks from the Bank of Japan and rumors of resigning from senior ruling party members. ⑵This political uncertainty puts greater pressure on Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and further exacerbates the depreciation of the yen. ⑶ The market is closely monitoring whether the US dollar against the Japanese yen can break through the key resistance level, that is, the 200-day moving average is 148.88. If it is successfully broken, it may open a channel for the August high of 150.91. ⑷ Faced with this risk, the options market alert sounded, and the US dollar call options with exertion prices of 150.00 and 151.00 are active in less than a month. ⑸ In addition, the one-month implied volatility of the US dollar against the Japanese yen rose to a four-week high of 10.05, and the risk reversal also shows the market's hedging demand for the upward risk of the US dollar. ⑹ Although the bearish premium of the one-month risk reversal yen has declined, it remains at 1.1 yen. ⑺These data indicate that the market is actively hedging the risk of the yen depreciation to the 150 mark and above.

Goldman Sachs raised its short-term forecast for iron ore, but the long-term outlook still has challenges

⑴Goldman Sachs raised its average price forecast for iron ore in the fourth quarter of 2025. ⑵Forecast is raised from US$90 per ton to US$95 per ton. ⑶ Despite this, Goldman Sachs maintained its forecast for the year-end iron ore price in 2026, which is still $80 per ton. ⑷ The agency pointed out that the supply of new low-cost iron ore continues to increase in 2026, and iron ore port inventory is expected to increase significantly by 48 million tons in 2026. ⑸ This shows that although iron ore prices are boosted in the short term, in the long run, supply and demand fundamentals may face downward pressure. ⑹While the market pays attention to short-term price increases, it also needs to be vigilant about the possible inventory accumulation risks in the future.

3. Trends of major currency pairs in the New York Stock Exchange before the market

Euro/USD: As of 20:23 Beijing time, the euro/USD fell and is now at 1.1629, a drop of 0.70%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, the price of (EURUSD) fell in the last session, breaking through the EMA50 support level, putting it under negative pressure, especially as negative signals (RSI) appear, despite reaching oversold levels, indicating a rapid decline in bearish momentum, which will offset the chances of recovery.

British Pound/USD: As of 20:23 Beijing time, GBP/USD fell and is now at 1.3357, a drop of 1.37%. Before New York, (GBPUSD) prices fell on the last trading day, collecting gains from previous gains and trying to get bullish momentum that could help it recover and rise again, in addition to offloading the obvious overbought conditions on (RSI), especially as negative signals emerge, leveraging its dynamic support represented by the exchange above the EMA50 and trading next to the supportive slash of the track, dominated by short-term bullish trends.

Spot gold: As of 20:23 Beijing time, spot gold rose, now at 3482.41, an increase of 0.17%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, the (gold) price rose on the last trading day, ready to attack the main resistance level of $3,500 after the price successfully collected the previous gains and unloaded the (RSI) overbought conditions, opening the way for more gains, with the main bullish trend dominating, and its trading follows the secondary and major slashes indicating the strength of the track.

Spot silver: As of 20:23 Beijing time, spot silver fell, now at 40.352, a drop of 0.82%. Before the New York market, the (silver) price rose on the last trading day after its early decline aimed at collecting its previous rise and unloading its apparent overbought conditions on (RSI), trying to recover and start a new bull market, with a dominant bullish trend, and its trading was accompanied by a small supportive bias on the track, with positive pressure from its trading above the EMA50 continuing to exist, strengthening the positive momentum.

Crude oil market: As of 20:23 Beijing time, U.S. oil rose, now at 65.660, an increase of 2.58%. Before New York, the (crude oil) price rose on the last trading day, taking advantage of its stability above the EMA50, which provides dynamic support, maintaining the continuation of the short-term bullish trend, accompanied by a bullish correction slash, indicating the strength of the dominant bullish momentum so far.

4. Institutional Perspective

Institutional: The rise in the S&P 500 after Labor Day will face a critical test

RaymondJames warned that the rise in the U.S. stock market driven by strong profits, lower yields and weaker oil prices will face a test in the eouu.cning weeks. Potential risk packageIncluding geopolitical tensions, new employment data, and the bond market's reaction to court rulings related to tariffs during the Trump era. The agency also pointed out that the momentum of the AI ​​sector is gradually weakening due to market concerns that the new model will perform weakly and project progress will stagnate, but cloud service spending remains strong. Raymond? James expects that earnings growth of mid-cap and small-cap stocks will accelerate from the end of 2025 to 2026, but also reminds that similar optimistic expectations a year ago have not been realized.

Dutch International: The reason for the ECB to remain silent is quite sufficient

Dutch International Group economist Bert Clariant said in a report that the inflation rate in the euro zone has risen slightly to a target of slightly higher than the ECB's 2%. Although the future prospects face many risks, this data confirms that the current inflation environment is generally stable. Given that interest rates are already at neutral levels, it is a logical decision to choose to pause interest rate cuts at this time. However, given the weak economic growth, the uncertainty of the future economy, and the general market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again, some European Central Bank policymakers may still push for another rate cut. But this possibility is relatively low, because the reason for maintaining interest rates is quite sufficient.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: The manufacturing data is mixed, and the short-term trend analysis of spot gold, silver, crude oil, and foreign exchange on September 2" was carefully eouu.cnpiled and edited by the XM Foreign Exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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