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Bank of England's interest rate decision is coming, mainstream expectations cut interest rates by 25 basis points

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange]: The Bank of England's interest rate resolution is eouu.cning, and the mainstream expects a 25 basis point interest rate cut." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM Exchange Review: The Bank of England’s interest rate resolution is eouu.cning, the mainstream expects a 25 basis point interest rate cut

XM Exchange Review: Today at 19:00, the Bank of England will announce the results of the August interest rate resolution. The mainstream expects it to cut interest rate by 25 basis points, and the benchmark interest rate dropped from 4.25% to 4.00%. Recently, major central banks around the world represented by the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada and the RBA have all shifted from aggressive interest rate cuts to suspending interest rate cuts. The Bank of England also announced a suspension of interest rate cuts in the last resolution. Therefore, although today's resolution expects a 25 basis point interest rate cut, there is still uncertainty and there may be a result of being silent (the probability is low).

▲XM chart

The central bank's policy changes often eouu.cnmunicate with the market in advance. The recent speech of the Bank of England governor did not focus on monetary policy, but mentioned more about the impact of globalization and the US trade policy on globalization. Other BoE officials have focused on the impact of the digital dollar on the euro and eurozone financial systems. To explore Bailey's views on future monetary policy, we need to trace it back to earlier times. "I do see some potential weakness, especially in the labor market, which is weakening," Bailey said in early July. From a data perspective, the UK's unemployment rate has risen for nine consecutive months, with the latest value of 4.7%, 0.7 percentage points higher than in August and approaching the 5% warning level. Only by maintaining loose monetary policies and reducing corporate pressure can the labor market continue to be boosted.

From the inflation rate perspective, the UK's core CPI annual rate in JuneIt is 3.7%, which is well above the moderate inflation standard of 2%. In the first quarter of this year, the annual growth rate of the UK GDP was 1.3%, far lower than the current inflation rate level, which means that the UK's macro economy is actually in a state of recession. In addition, although the United Kingdom and the United States signed a trade agreement very early, the content was seriously biased towards the United States, which was extremely unfavorable to the United Kingdom's export industry. For example, the UK's automobile export limit is 100,000 vehicles, and the 10% tariff is retained, etc. This will lead to a deep recession in the UK's macroeconomics, and interest rate cuts will become a necessary option to boost the economy.

▲XM chart

In terms of the bond market, the yield on the January British bonds is 4.03%, and the March British bonds are 4.08%, and there is no inversion, which means that the Bank of England will start a rate cut within 3 months. This contradicts the current mainstream interest rate cut expectations, which means that this resolution may remain unchanged. The yield on the June UK bonds is 4.02%, lower than the March UK bonds yield, which shows an inverted phenomenon, which means that the Bank of England may restart interest rate cuts in the 3-6 month period. In the long run, the Bank of England's relatively loose monetary policy will continue to be negative for the pound.

XM risk warning, disclaimer, special statement: The market is risky, so be cautious when investing. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not regard this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' views may change and updates will not be notified separately.

The above content is all about "[XM Forex]: The Bank of England's interest rate resolution is eouu.cning, and the mainstream expects to cut interest rates by 25 basis points". It is carefully eouu.cnpiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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Bank of England's interest rate decision is coming, mainstream expectations cut interest rates by 25 basis points

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market analysis

Bank of England's interest rate decision is coming, mainstream expectations cut interest rates by 25 basis points

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason