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Non-farm report confirms U.S. economy is slowing sharply

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A quiet path will always arouse a relaxed yearning in twists and turns; a huge wave, the thrilling sound can be even more stacked when the tide rises and falls; a story, only with regrets and sorrows can bring about a heart-wrenching desolation; a life, where the ups and downs show the stunning heroism.

Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Group】: The non-farm report confirms that the US economy is slowing down sharply." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

Despite possible controversy, the July employment report helped confirm the notion that the U.S. economic engine is shutting down.

The number of non-agricultural employment increased by only 73,000 that month, even lower than low-key expectations. A sharp downward correction to the May and June data has brought the average employment growth in three months to only 35,000, less than one-third of the increase in the same period last year.

Soften employment growth is often a lagging indicator of the recession, which shows that the economic slowdown may be more severe than some traditional indicators show. "We are in the midst of a widespread economic slowdown. The question I'm asking now is whether this will translate into a recession. The labor market is key and it's hard to predict what will happen in the future." Wilmington believes that the U.S. is a 50% chance of falling into a recession, and Tilley mentioned concerns about the long-term blow from tariffs that could curb consumer spending and corporate investment and recruitment. Consumer spending drove 68% of all economic activity in the first quarter.

In fact, he said tariff pressure is one of the reasons why President Trump's transmission effect of taxation has not hit inflation as severely as many economists have expected.

He said: "If consumers take the burden, they will spend more money on imported goods, and they will reduce entertainment spending, such as airlines, Disney, amusement parks, hotels, etc. We have seen this in the data, which is why there is no inflationary impact."

It is certain that the current increaseThe long-term prospect is far from terrible.

U.S. GDP grew by 3% in the second quarter, which, on the surface, is a dynamic economic picture.

But from the first half of the year, GDP grew by only about 1.2% on average, and consumer spending rose by only 1%. The main reason for the sharp increase in the second quarter was a reversal of the surge in imports in the first quarter as businesses tried to act before tariffs were imposed. In the first quarter of this year, the U.S. economic growth rate fell by 0.5% due to a surge in imports.

If the July unemployment report heralds the future, the outlook will certainly become even darker.

PNC chief economist Gus Faucher wrote after the release of employment data on Friday: "The most likely result is that economic growth in the second half of 2025 and early 2026 will remain weak, but there will be no recession, eouu.cnpared with 2024 and the first half of this year."

He added: "But considering the correction of labor market data, the risk of recession is rising, and tariff hikes make this risk higher. It is easy to see that very weak job growth and tariff hikes may lead to consumer spending cuts and businesses cut investments, thus pushing the economy into a recession."

Goldman Sachs predicted that economic growth in the last two quarters was only 1%, part of which was originally As it was a slowdown in consumer spending, and “real income growth has slowed significantly, reflecting weaker job growth, tariff-driven inflation, and a reduction in transfer payments in the fourth quarter, which are included in the recent fiscal bill.”

The eouu.cnpany said in a report over the weekend: “Last Friday’s job report brought employment growth closer to the big data indicators of employment growth and a broader growth dataset, both of which have slowed significantly in recent months. Overall, economic data confirms our view that the U.S. economy is growing at a rate below the potential level.”

While the outlook is bleak, White House officials insist that the economy is healthy and that once Trump’s OBBB bill eouu.cnes into effect, the economy will only improve.

Trump, who himself strongly opposed the July employment report, fired the Bureau of Labor Statistics director last Friday, called the data "forged" and "manipulated" in TruthSocial's post.

However, White House economist Hassett said on Monday that the data correction is worrying, although he also boasts about broader economic strength.

Hassett said: "There are many good reasons to be very optimistic about the second half of this year, but if the revised data is correct, then the employment data will definitely show that the growth momentum is not as strong as we think." Hassett, director of the National Economic eouu.cnmission, is considered a major eouu.cnpetitor to the Fed's vacant seats.

The above content is all about "【XM Group】: The non-farm report confirms that the US economy is slowing down sharply". It was carefully eouu.cnpiled and edited by the XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

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Non-farm report confirms U.S. economy is slowing sharply

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

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CATEGORIES

News

market news

Non-farm report confirms U.S. economy is slowing sharply

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason