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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
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中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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After the non-farm upset in the United States in July, why did the pound rise sharply but was "smashed" by the euro?
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: Why did the pound rise sharply but was "smashed" by the euro after the non-agricultural outbreak in July?" Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On Monday (August 4), the pound fluctuated slightly against the US dollar and fell slightly by 0.11%, and is now trading around 1.3267. Affected by the fact that the US non-farm employment data in July was significantly lower than expected, the exchange rate rebounded by 0.58% on the previous trading day, but the cross-exchange with the euro depreciated by 1%, casting a shadow on the bulls of the pound.
Rate cut plan: The fuse of the pound being weaker than the euro
The Bank of England plans to cut the fifth rate of interest rate on Thursday (August 4). Against the backdrop of the fact that the CPI in June still reached 3.6% (higher than the 2% target) but the job market has cooled significantly, it plans to lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points from 4.25% to 4.00%. Due to weak economic growth - after the export boost effect caused by U.S. eouu.cnpanies in the first quarter of 2025 subsided, the growth rate slowed significantly in the second quarter, and the unemployment rate is expected to continue to rise; in terms of policy trade-offs, although inflation is sticky, most policy makers believe that maintaining high interest rates too quickly may aggravate employment loss, resulting in inflation below the 2% target for a long time.
External risks weaken the fundamentals of the pound
External risks and long-term challenges are significant: Although the UK and the United States reached a tariff agreement, the tariff levels of China, India and other countries are unclear, and may disturb UK inflation and growth through supply chains; the budget at the end of 2025 may increase taxes, which will be eouu.cnbined with trade uncertainty, further curb investment and recruitment, and weaken the fundamentals of the pound.
The depreciation of the pound under triple pressure may become the norm
In the medium-term trend, economic weakness, policy differences and external shocks form triple depreciation pressure. If inflation stickiness does not decrease and the economy is sluggish, the market may question the effectiveness of the policy and accelerate the decline of the pound; Monetary Policy eouu.cnmitteeSplit votes (such as 5-2-2 or 7-1-1) may blur signals and amplify fluctuations. If the rate cut is faster than expected (such as another 25 basis points in the fourth quarter), weakening of the pound will become the norm. In addition, the imposition of tariffs on other economies may push up the UK's import costs, aggravate imported inflation, making it more difficult for the central bank to balance "rate cuts and stabilize growth" and "anti-inflation", further dragging down the pound; when global trade frictions and geopolitical conflicts heat up, the rising demand for the US dollar's safe-haven and the recent rise of the euro will also indirectly suppress the pound.
Institutional and technical consensus: The downward space of the pound is clear
Institutional forecasts and technical aspects also point to depreciation: Morgan Stanley and others believe that the economic weakness and continued interest rate cuts will likely fall to 1.27-1.30 against the US dollar by the end of the year; ING pointed out that if the Bank of England further opens the door to easing, the pound may depreciate to 1.20-1.25; on the technical side, the key support of falling below 1.320 may trigger programmatic selling and accelerate the downward trend.
In summary, although the pound may rebound due to inflation falling beyond expectations in the short term and the slowdown in the trade situation may cause the pound to rebound, multiple factors such as the Bank of England's interest rate cut plan, economic weakness, widening interest rate spreads, and external risks determine that the pound faces the risk of depreciation, and this pressure will be difficult to fundamentally improve in the medium and short term.
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