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Tariff deadline approaches doubts about Federal Reserve policy, US dollar index falls under pressure

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Tariff deadline is approaching and the Federal Reserve's policy is doubtful, and the US dollar index is under pressure and declines." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On Tuesday (July 22), the US dollar index failed to hold the high of 98.95 last week (this point briefly broke through the resistance level, but then returned to the sell pressure), and fell slightly during the day.

The 50-day moving average is currently at 98.60, and has turned downward in recent trading days. The index is currently trading at 97.545, slightly below the 50% retracement level (97.664) of the recent rise from 96.377 to 98.95. Price fluctuations near this key point indicate that the buyer is losing control.

As the August 1 deadline approaches, tariff uncertainty curbs the dollar's strength

As the dollar falls, investors are cautious about the August 1 deadline - a date that may trigger the United States to impose high tariffs on non-cooperative trading partners.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bescenter stressed that this administration attaches more importance to the quality of trade agreements than time, and does not rule out the possibility of extending the deadline. The trading range of the foreign exchange market narrows, traders are waiting for a clear signal, and most choose defensive positions.

The euro stabilized at 1.1702 against the dollar, and the yen is currently hovering around 147.485 after rising 1% on Monday due to the Japanese Senate election.

Political concerns in Tokyo and ongoing trade uncertainty with the United States may limit the upside of the yen. Meanwhile, EU diplomats said they are preparing to take countermeasures as the possibility of a trade deal with Washington is becoming increasingly slim.

The Federal Reserve's July meeting is approaching, and the pressure of review is intensifying.

The market focus is also on the Federal Reserve's meeting from July 29 to 30, and it is expected that the meeting will not adjust interest rates. Federal Funds Futures show, 9The probability of 5% is that the target interest rate range will remain at 4.25%-4.5%.

But the growing political pressure is attracting traders’ attention. President Trump continues to push for interest rate cuts and openly calls on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to resign. Becente retorted on Tuesday that Powell did not need to resign but called for a eouu.cnprehensive internal review of the Fed's operations.

Powell has not expressed his intention to resign. Meanwhile, Fed Director Michelle Bowman defended the Fed's independence, but pointed out that greater transparency and accountability are needed.

Precaution trading, U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly

As traders remained on the verge of waiting and watching before next week's policy resolution, U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond fell 3.4 basis points to 4.336%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury bond fell to 3.829%. Economic data this week are lighter, including data on existing home sales on Wednesday, number of initial jobless claims on Thursday and durable goods orders on Friday.

Market Outlook: Unless the Federal Reserve or tariff news breaks the deadlock, the US dollar will fluctuate in range

The index is currently trading below the 97.664 support level, and the momentum is weakened. Unless there is a clear signal on tariffs or Fed policies, it may further decline to around 96.38.

Before this, forex traders should expect range volatility, with the market being driven more by headlines than fundamentals. Powell's hawkish statements or the last-minute easing of tariff policies may significantly change market sentiment.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Tariff deadline approaches and the Federal Reserve's policy is doubtful, and the US dollar index is under pressure and declines". It is carefully eouu.cnpiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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Tariff deadline approaches doubts about Federal Reserve policy, US dollar index falls under pressure

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market news

Tariff deadline approaches doubts about Federal Reserve policy, US dollar index falls under pressure

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason