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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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market news
U.S. crude oil has risen again, with market price approaching $75
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: U.S. crude oil has risen again, with the market price approaching US$75". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
XM: U.S. crude oil has risen again, with market price approaching US$75
On June 13, affected by tensions in the Middle East, NYMEX crude oil rose 7.55%, reaching a high of US$77.62 during the session. On the 16th, U.S. crude oil jumped at the opening, but opened high and closed low, and finally closed at $71.48. When the market thought that the influence of the situation in the Middle East on crude oil began to weaken, on the 17th, U.S. crude oil once again made a strong move, rising 4.97% in a single day, pulling the market price back to US$73.74.
Iran's average daily oil production is around 3.3 million barrels, ranking third among OPEC+ member states, second only to Saudi Arabia and Iraq. Although the conflict between Iran and Israel continues, there is currently no news that Iran's oil exports have been affected, and Iran's key oil export channel Hark Island hub is still operating normally. Since the supply side of the international crude oil market has not yet changed significantly, although the volatility of NYMEX crude oil is large, it has been difficult to stand at the $80 mark.
The International Energy Information Administration IEA released its monthly report on the crude oil market, which mentioned that the global oil market is expected to remain sufficient, but tensions in the Middle East have cast a shadow on this prospect. The IEA also mentioned: It is expected to increase by more than 5 million barrels per day by 2030 to a peak of 114.7 million barrels per day, which will lead to supply far exceeding demand.
In general, the IEA believes that under normal conditions, global crude oil production can fully cover crude oil demand, and there may be oversupply in the future, and oil prices will also face obstacles and fall. However, under abnormal conditions, the supply side of crude oil may suffer a shock, such as the current Israeli-Iran conflict. Once the supply drops, crude oil prices will rise sharply.
CurrentlyThere are two factors that will lead to a decline in crude oil supply. One is that the above-mentioned Iranian Hark Island hub was destroyed, resulting in a sharp drop in exports. The second is that the Strait of Hormuz is blocked by Iran. The probability of the former being likely to appear is higher, while the probability of the latter being extremely difficult.
The Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway connecting the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, is the key to oil transportation in the Middle East. According to public data, the Strait of Hormuz transports about 20 million barrels per day, accounting for one-fifth of the total global transport. Once the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, the energy markets of developed countries led by the United States will face major crises. Similarly, Iran will also induce hatred and blows outside Israel and the United States. Therefore, Iran will most likely not use this trump card unless it is absolutely necessary.
▲XM chart
On the trend structure perspective, at the daily level, US crude oil is in a medium- and short-term bullish trend, and the volatility has increased significantly in the recent past. The upper and lower limits of the K-line in the last three trading days are between the top and bottom prices of a single K-line last Friday, which means that the bulls only exploded last Friday, and then it was eouu.cnparable to the bears. The latest market price is US$72.79, between the 3.382 and 3.618 quarters of the previous round of the wave, and faces the suppression of a strong resistance range. It is expected that U.S. crude oil will fluctuate between $74 and $75 for a period of time, until the news eouu.cnes with positive news, it will only break through the $80 mark.
XM risk warning, disclaimer, special statement: The market is risky, so be cautious when investing. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not regard this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' views may change and updates will not be notified separately.
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