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market analysis

Gold trend line resistance gains and losses become key, Europe and the United States are rising strongly

Wonderful Introduction:

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: The gains and losses of gold trend line resistance become the key, and Europe and the United States are rising strongly." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

Macro

The international political and economic landscape experienced multiple fluctuations last week: Trump announced that he would impose 50% tariffs on the EU from June and threaten technology eouu.cnpanies, causing gold to soar and the euro to fall sharply. The EU prepared 95 billion euro countermeasures; the US House of Representatives passed the "Beautiful Great Act", which is expected to increase the fiscal deficit of US$2.3 trillion to US$3.3 trillion in the next 10 years, and the market is vigilant about the risks of US debt; the independence of the Federal Reserve has been supported by the Supreme Court, but officials have significant differences on the path to interest rate cuts. At the geopolitical level, the Israeli conflict with Iran is about to break out, the Israeli military's shooting of diplomatic delegation triggered international condemnation, Netanyahu insisted on a tough stance in the Israeli-Kazakhstan conflict; Trump mediated the ceasefire in Russia and Ukraine, and the Wall Street Journal disclosed that he said during a call with the European side that Putin believed that the Russian army was "winning", which was inconsistent with his public statement. This week's market focus turned to Federal Reserve policy minutes, Bank of Japan's interest rate hike expectations, European and American economic data and OPEC+ production increase plan. The interweaving of trade frictions, debt risks and geopolitical conflicts has made the uncertainty of the global pattern continue to be high.

Dollar Index

In terms of the performance of the US dollar index, the US dollar index showed a downward trend last Friday. The price of the US dollar index rose to 99.917 on the day, and fell to 99.019 at the lowest, and finally closed at 99.078. Looking back at the market performance last Friday, during the early trading session, the price fell in the short term and fell below the four-hour support position. After that, the price continued to be weak, and finally ended on the day with a big dark end. At the same time, the weekly line was also a big dark, and the subsequent focus was on further pressure performance.

From a multi-cycle analysis, the price is suppressed in the 101.70 area resistance at the weekly level, so from a medium-term perspective, the trend of the US dollar index will be more inclined toShort sellers. At the daily level, the key price resistance position is at 100.30 position over time, and below the price, the focus is on further pressure. At the same time, according to the four-hour level, as time goes by, the current four-hour key position is in the 99.30-40 area, so it continues to be under pressure in the short term. The current price is also under pressure in one hour, so we continue to look at the pressure in the future. Pay attention to the regional support of 98.40-97.70 below.

The US dollar index has a short range of 99.30-40, with a defense of 5 US dollars, and a target of 98.40-97.70

Gold

In terms of gold, the overall price of gold showed an upward trend last Friday, with the highest price rising to 3365.76 on the day, and the lowest fell to 3286.97 on the spot, closing at 3359.92. In response to the price of gold last Friday, the price of gold first relies on the daily support and four-hour resistance range during the early trading session. Since the price broke through the daily resistance and then failed to break the second time, it broke through the four-hour resistance again, it means that the overall situation was still relatively long in the future. Finally, the test ended at the previous downward trend line on the same day. Continue to pay attention to the trend line suppression area and the gains and losses of the daily support. The price continues to look forward to rising before breaking the daily support.

From a multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price has risen in the early stage for three months and then a single-month correction. Recently, it has risen in the recent four-month period, so according to the rhythm, there have been four consecutive positives. For the current May, we must pay attention to market risks. From the weekly level, gold prices are supported by the support level in the 3160 area. So from the mid-term perspective, we can continue to maintain a bullish view. The price decline is only a correction in the medium-term rise, and the price will be further under pressure only if it breaks the weekly support. Judging from the daily level, the daily level is currently supported in the 3280 area, and the price is under this position to pay attention to further increase. At the same time, from the four-hour level, the current four-hour support is in the range of 3323-3324. The four-hour support determines the key to the short-term trend. Therefore, we will look at the rise further before falling below the decline. We will pay attention to the breakthrough performance of 3365 in the future. Only when the price falls below the four-hour support will the daily support be tested, otherwise we will continue to be treated in the right-hand trading method.

Gold has a long range of 3323-24, with a defense of 10 US dollars, and a target of 3365-3385-3415

European and the United States

In terms of Europe and the United States, prices in Europe and the United States generally showed an upward trend last Friday. The price fell to 1.1277 at the lowest point on the day, and rose to 1.1375 at the highest point and closed at 1.1364 at the same time. Looking back on the performance of European and American markets last Friday, the price directly received support during the early trading session and further rose. Then the price was released during the Asian session.The degree broke through the four-hour resistance position, and the European session continued to soar. Although the US price retreated rapidly before the session, it only fell back to the support for four hours and continued to rise in the US session. And the big sun ended on that day, which indicates that the overall situation is still bulls, and the subsequent focus is on further rising performance.

From a multi-cycle analysis, from the monthly level, Europe and the United States are supported by 1.0800, so long-term bulls are treated. From the weekly level, the price is supported by the 1.1090 area, and continues to look bullish from the perspective of the mid-line. The price decline is temporarily treated as a correction in the mid-line rise. From the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance position upwardly last week, and the resistance became support, and then the price continued to operate above the daily support. At present, we will pay attention to the further rise of the daily line in the future. Judging from the short-term four-hour level, European and American market prices have fluctuated and risen in recent days, and overall they remain large, so the price has been temporarily bullish in the four-hour support range of 1.1330-40. At the same time, according to the one-hour price, the price will continue to be strong in the morning trading today. We will pay attention to the gains and losses of the good morning low in the future, and focus on the 1.1430-1.1480 area above.

Europe and the United States have a range of 1.1330-40, with a defense of 40 points, and a target of 1.1430-1.1480

[Finance data and events that are focused today] Monday, May 26, 2025

①21:00 European Central Bank Governor Lagarde delivered a speech

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Gold trend line resistance gains and losses become key, Europe and the United States are rising strongly

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Gold trend line resistance gains and losses become key, Europe and the United States are rising strongly

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