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Trump's attitude towards Europe has changed his mind again, and Fed officials have begun to consider postponing interest rate cuts!
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Trump's attitude towards Europe has changed his mind again, and Fed officials have begun to consider postponing interest rate cuts!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On May 26, early trading in the Asian market on Monday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 98.92. Last Friday, US President Trump once again threatened to escalate the trade war, suggesting that a 50% tariff was imposed on the EU from June 1. The US dollar index continued to decline during the day and fell to around the 99 mark at one point, and finally closed down 0.83% to 99.10. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.518%; the two-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.004%, which is more sensitive to monetary policy. Due to the increase in safe-haven demand, spot gold once rose by more than 2%, reaching a high of $3365.91, and finally closed up 1.87% to $3356.21 per ounce. Spot silver closed up 1.33% to $33.46 per ounce. On Monday, gold opened lower, and the intraday decline once widened to $15. Perhaps because some investors chose to cover short positions before the US holiday, the two oils rebounded and rose by more than 1% during the day. WTI crude oil fell first and then rose, and quickly rose above $61 during the US session, finally closing up 1.51% to $61.56/barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 1.35% to $64.4/barrel.
Analysis of major currencies
Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovers around 98.92. Market participants will focus on eouu.cnments from Fed officials, along with minutes of FOMC meetings, preliminary first-quarter GDP, core PCE price index, personal income and expenditure, durable goods orders and eouu.cnmodity trade balance, all of which will be released this week to get new clues about the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy direction. Technically, 100.30The nearby 50-period moving average is now strong resistance, while the direct support of 98.90 is under test. Momentum is beneficial to sellers unless the US dollar index regains the 100.00 mark.
Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends
1) Analysis of gold market trends
On the Asian session on Monday, gold trading around 3341.33. Gold prices attracted some sellers at the start of the new week and eroded a portion of Friday's strong gain to more than two-week highs, although downside potential appears to be limited. U.S. fiscal concerns, escalating geopolitical tensions, the Federal Reserve's bets on interest rate cuts and a lack of dollar buying should continue to support gold. Therefore, any subsequent decline may be considered a buying opportunity and remains limited.
2) Analysis of crude oil market trends
On the Asian session on Monday, crude oil trading was around 61.55. Traders spent a week digesting reports that OPEC+ could approve 411,000 barrels per day in July, a move that would increase the 1 million barrels per day already scheduled between April and June. While no formal agreement has been announced, the tone of core oil-producing countries (especially Saudi Arabia) suggests that they are turning to regaining market share rather than defending prices.
Forex market trading reminder on May 26, 2025
21:00 European Central Bank Governor Lagarde delivered a speech
The above content is about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Trump's attitude towards Europe has changed his mind again, and Fed officials have begun to consider postponing interest rate cuts!" All content is carefully eouu.cnpiled and edited by the XM Foreign Exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!
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