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market analysis

The dollar index struggles around 99.949, rising yields and pressures for foreign sell-offs

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: The US dollar index is struggling around 99.949, rising yields and pressure on foreign selling have emerged." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM Forex APP News-- During the US session on Thursday (May 22), the US dollar index slightly higher than the key short-term pivot point of 99.949, a slight rebound from the two-week low of 99.333. Even though the price trend seems to stabilize, traders are cautious. The dollar support brought by rising yields is now in confronting increasingly obvious capital outflows and bond market pressures, making this level the key to the trend in the eouu.cning days. Tariffs drive inflation to heat up, and the Federal Reserve’s expectation of interest rate cuts is impacted. How much does it cost? S&P Global (S&PGlobal) announced the initial value of manufacturing and service industry PMI in May, showing that both outputs improved, with manufacturing PMI rising to 52.3, a three-month high. But the rebound is mainly driven by inventory, which is due to the eouu.cnpany's expectation that tariffs may trigger supply chain disruptions and stocks are ready in advance. Manufacturing inventories surged, while supplier delivery times worsened to their worst levels since the end of 2022. The situation reflected in the price data is even more severe: the increase in output prices in manufacturing reached the highest since September 2022, while the increase in price in services hit a new high since April 2023. These inflation data directly related to tariffs may at least strengthen the Fed's policy stance of "maintaining high interest rates for longer" in the short term, thereby providing certain support for US Treasury yields and the US dollar. The deteriorating deficit outlook has led to a decline in foreign demand for U.S. assets. However, the support brought by yields has limitations. The 20-year Treasury auction has been cold, and the Trump administration's tax bill is expected to add $3.8 trillion in debt, putting market sentiment under pressure. Foreign investors have begun to reduce their exposure to U.S. assets. Earlier this week the U.S. dollar was against theThe yen fell to 142.80, reflecting the contradiction: rising yields do not seem to be enough to offset market concerns about fiscal deficits and political risks. Bond market risks weaken the support base of the US dollar (Daily chart of the US dollar index: Yihuitong) Although the 30-year Treasury yield once tested its 2023 high of 5.17% before the decline, it is even more worrying that even if the yield is high, it has not attracted strong foreign demand. This disconnect is crucial: it shows that the traditional link of “raised yields boost the dollar” is disintegrating in the face of structural sell-off pressures. Driven by the weak auction and the risk of downgrading credit ratings, the theme of "selling US assets" continues to be in

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The dollar index struggles around 99.949, rising yields and pressures for foreign sell-offs

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